Wednesday, October 16, 2013

Five Drinks Into Reality TV: Survivor Season 27 Episode 5 "The Dead Can Still Talk"

Tom's Take:

Not a great episode, although I'm glad Galang finally lost a challenge, so we could see what was going on in the tribe. Meanwhile Tadhana had an uplifting episode, as each of the Tadhana survivors is now a fairly well established character that we can root for going forward.








Tadhana (+10 points)



1. Hayden: (40 points)

Hayden feels like he's in trouble, which he is, but I have a feeling he's willing to make moves to get himself in a better spot, and with a tribe swap of some sort coming, I think he'll play his way to a good position.

Prediction: Winner
1st Episode Prediction: Winner
2nd Episode Prediction: Late Juror
3rd Episode Prediction: Late Juror
4th Episode Prediction: Early Juror
5th Episode Prediction: Early Juror






2. Vytas: (54 points)

Vytas had a great episode filled with a lot of character moments, reviving my faith that he'll be the winner of this season.

Prediction: Finalist
1st Episode Prediction: Late Juror
2nd Episode Prediction: Winner
3rd Episode Prediction: Winner
4th Episode Prediction: Early Juror
5th Episode Prediction: Winner



3. Ciera: (38 points)

With a Tribe Swap coming, and her mom out of the game, I think Ciera is suddenly in a good position to go really far in the game. Is it possible she links up with the Coconut Bandits, or maybe with a Vytas/Aras alliance? I think so.

Prediction: Finalist
1st Episode Prediction: Early Juror
2nd Episode Prediction: Early Juror
3rd Episode Prediction: Early Juror
4th Episode Prediction: Pre-Merge
5th Episode Prediction: Finalist





4. Katie: (15 points)

Katie is our invisible player. I think she'll be an easy boot after the tribe swap.

Prediction: Pre-Merge
1st Episode Prediction: Early Boot
2nd Episode Prediction: Pre-Merge
3rd Episode Prediction: Pre-Merge
4th Episode Prediction: Pre-Merge
5th Episode Prediction: Pre-Merge



5. Caleb: (41 points)

Okay, I think Hayden and Vytas will cut Caleb as payback for screwing them over with last week's vote. Because of that, I think the Tribe Swap is going to hurt him from having the best position in the tribe.  

Prediction: Early Juror.
Prediction: Finalist
2nd Episode Prediction: Finalist
3rd Episode Prediction: Late Juror
4th Episode Prediction: Early Juror.
5th Episode Prediction: Pre-Merge






Galang  





6. Gervase (72 points)

I think with a tribe swap, the battle between Aras and Vytas versus the Coconut Brothers is coming. Game on soon.

Prediction: Late Juror
1st Episode Prediction: Pre-Merge
2nd Episode Prediction: Early Juror
3rd Episode Prediction: Late Juror
4th Episode Prediction: Finalist
5th Episode Prediction: Late Juror


7. Tina: (61 points)

Tina is getting a solid edit, and looks like a savvy player, but I think she'll get cut in favor of the Aras/Vytas connection.

Prediction: Late Juror
1st Episode Prediction: Early Juror
2nd Episode Prediction: Early Juror
3rd Episode Prediction: Finalist
4th Episode Prediction: Late Juror
5th Episode Prediction: Late Juror



  

8. Aras (68 points)

I don't think Aras made the right move tonight. He should have just gone the easy vote and kept Laura M. as a side alliance, much like Vytas was doing with Ciera early on this season. I think since they're farther in the game he saw Laura M. as more of a strategic threat, but his reasoning seemed flawed. He shouldn't be discussing loved ones as a motive at all, since his brother and him will be the strongest pair in the game once they hit the merge.

Prediction: Late Juror
1st Episode Prediction: Late Juror
2nd Episode Prediction: Finalist
3rd Episode Prediction: Finalist
4th Episode Prediction: Late Juror
5th Episode Prediction: Finalist


9. Tyson: (77 points)

Tyson sort of let Aras call the shots this week which is why I'm no long keeping him in the winner pick selection.

Prediction: Late Juror
1st Episode Prediction: Early Juror
2nd Episode Prediction: Early Juror
3rd Episode Prediction: Early Juror
4th Episode  Prediction: Winner
5th Episode Prediction: Late Juror



10. Laura M. (58 points)

Laura got blindsided. I guess her flirting with Aras backfired? I don't really understand this vote to be honest.

Prediction: Pre-Merge
Prediction: Early Juror
Prediction: Pre-Merge
3rd Episode Prediction: Pre-Merge
4th Episode Prediction: Early Juror
5th Episode Prediction: Pre-Merge



11. Monica (64 points)

I guess she's gonna just keep chucking idol clues in the fire? Lame. I think her alliance is going to turn on her sooner than later.

Prediction: Early Boot
1st Episode Prediction: Early Boot
2nd Episode Prediction: Early Juror
3rd Episode Prediction: Early Juror
4th Episode Prediction: Early Juror
5th Episode Prediction: Pre-Merge





12. Kat: (44 points)

Huh. I guess Kat is the Galang's invisible player.

Prediction: Early Boot
1st Episode Prediction: Early Boot
2nd Episode Prediction: Pre-Merge
3rd Episode Prediction: Early Boot
4th Episode Prediction: Pre-Merge
5th Episode Prediction: Pre-Merge


13. Laura B.: (51 points)

Wow. Laura B. is bad at Survivor. More than anything, I think this saved her ass, since she is just such a non entity in the game. 

Prediction: Early Boot
1st Episode Prediction: Early Boot
2nd Episode Prediction: Early Boot
3rd Episode Prediction: Early Juror
4th Episode Prediction: Early Juror
5th Episode Prediction: Early Juror


Redemption Islanders




14. Candice: (42 points)

Goodbye Candice. You had a good run.

Prediction: Early Boot


1st Episode Prediction: Early Boot
2nd Episode Prediction: Pre-Merge
3rd Episode Prediction: Early Juror
5th Episode Eliminated



15. John: (39 points)

Another win for John, and I'm now predicting he makes it back from Redemption Island. 

Prediction: Early Juror
Prediction: Finalist
2nd Episode Prediction: Early Juror
3rd Episode Prediction: Pre-Merge
4th Episode Prediction: Pre-Merge 
5th Episode Prediction: Early Juror


16. Brad: (58 points)

Brad is taking his defeat with a lot of class. 

Prediction: Early Juror
1st Episode Prediction: Early Juror
2nd Episode Prediction: Early Juror
3rd Episode Prediction: Pre-Merge
4th Episode Prediction: Pre-Merge
5th Episode Prediction: Pre-Merge



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