Sunday, October 19, 2014

Five Drinks Into Reality TV: Survivor Season 29 Blood v. Water 2 San Juan Del Sur Episode 4

Tom's Take:

We finally got a change up this week with the Hunahpu finally going to tribal council. We got a GREAT one episode arc with Drew's downfall,







Coyopa Tribe







1. Nadiya


1st Episode: 1st Boot







2. Josh


No Josh this week, which is an interesting editing choice. If Josh was the winner that he had seem poised to be earlier in the season, The Coyopa tribe may currently be run by Josh, but I really see the Coyopa tribe as being the one with Baylor's under dog story.


1st Episode Prediction: Early Juror
2nd Episode Prediction: Early Juror
3rd Episode Prediction: Early Juror
4th Episode Prediction: Early Juror





3. Alec

What an odd edit with Alec being Baylor's "older brother" type. What was the point of that edit? Was it to strengthen our knowledge about Baylor, a potential winner, or to show a rivalry between the two? Maybe it was just to show Drew's brother on the other side of Drew's downfall? I don't know, but I think Drew getting voted out should help Alec, since it makes him seem weaker on paper.

1st Episode Prediction: Early Juror
2nd Episode Prediction: Early Juror
3rd Episode Prediction: Early Juror
4th Episode Prediction: Early Juror






4. Val



1st Episode Prediction: Early Boot
2nd Boot





5. Wes

No Wes this week, which unfortunately crushes that glimmer of hope I had for him. We'll see, because he could be a decent player, but I don't know yet.

1st Episode Prediction: Early Juror
2nd Episode Prediction: Early Juror
3rd Episode Prediction: Early Juror
4th Episode Prediction: Early Juror





6. John Rocker



1st Episode Prediction: Pre Jury
2nd Episode Prediction: Pre-Jury
3rd Boot






7. Jaclyn


Nothing.


1st Episode Prediction: Early Boot
2nd Episode Prediction: Early Boot
3rd Episode Prediction: Early Boot
4th Episode Prediction: Pre-Merge






8. Dale


Dale might have new life with the swap coming up, and Dale could have a resurgence to once again be a possible winner. But the edit isn't quite there yet.


1st Episode Prediction: Early Juror
2nd Episode Prediction: Early Juror
3rd Episode Prediction: Pre-Merge
4th Episode Prediction: Early Juror






9. Baylor


This episode did a great job of keeping Baylor involved in the narrative, even though there was no obvious reason for it. I like her, and if the editors' job is to make us like the future winner they have succeeded with me and Baylor. So there you go, I'm back on Baylor winning the game!


1st Episode Prediction: Winner!
2nd Episode Prediction: Early Juror
3rd Episode Prediction: Early Juror
4th Episode Prediction: Winner!








Hunahpu Tribe






10. Natalie

Natalie did a great job rallying the girls this week, and she is something of a power player among her tribe. She may even be a better player than Jeremy, but I am definitely not getting a winner vibe from her, which means that she must have a downfall later on the season.

1st Episode Prediction: Late Jury
2nd Episode Prediction: Late Juror
3rd Episode Prediction: Runner Up
4th Episode Prediction: Late Juror



11. Drew


Oh Drew....Hilarious...just amazingly hilarious. For everyone watching, that is how you DON'T play Survivor. The guy was actually worse than Garrett from last season! That's how bad he was!

1st Episode Prediction: Pre Jury
2nd Episode Prediction: Early Juror
3rd Episode Prediction: Pre-Jury
4th Boot









12. Jeremy


Jeremy has a temper, but he was able to hold back on it this week and vote with the girls because no one in their right might would be in an alliance with Drew.  Still that temper was enough for me to drop Jeremy from my winner prediction.

2nd Episode Prediction: Winner
3rd Episode Prediction: Winner
4th Episode Prediction: Late Juror







13. Reed

The guy is a snitch. I don't think he will last long in this game.

1st Episode Prediction: Early Juror
2nd Episode Prediction: Early Juror
3rd Episode Prediction: Early Juror
4th Episode Prediction: Pre-Merge






14. Julie


Julie survived a tough vote, and as a result she is one of like five people that could POSSIBLY win the game. I don't think she will, but with the girls and Jeremy she is now in an absolutely dominant alliance.

1st Episode Prediction: Late Juror
2nd Episode Prediction: Pre-Jury
3rd Episode Prediction: Late Juror
4th Episode Prediction: Late Juror




15. Jon


Jon was actually smart to target Julie...but he voted for Keith? I dunno.


1st episode Prediction: Early Juror.
2nd Episode Prediction: Early Juror
3rd Episode Prediction: Pre-Jury
4th Episode Prediction: Pre-Merge





16. Keith

Keith found an idol, but he also pissed of Jeremy. That will destroy his game later on the game.


1st Episode Prediction: Early Boot
2nd Episode Prediction: Early Boot
3rd Episode Prediction: Early Juror
4th Episode Prediction: Early Juror






17. Missy


Missy is in a good spot, but I still don't have a great read on her doing well in this game.


1st Episode Prediction: Late Juror/Runner Up
2nd Episode Prediction: Late Juror
3rd Episode Prediction: Late Juror
4th Episode Prediction: Late Juror/Runner Up







18. Kelley


Kelley got plenty of air time tonight, as Drew went after her. But just like the rest of America, I think Drew was an idiot, and as such his assertion that Kelley was dangerous is completely ludicrous.


1st Episode Prediction: Late Juror
2nd Episode Prediction: Late Juror
3rd Episode Prediction: Late Juror
4th Episode Prediction: Late Juror

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